National League South | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 1pm UK
Parkside Stadium

Aveley
1 - 1
Hornchurch

Kawa (19')
Uche (52'), Kawa (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hearn (50')
Nash (70'), Muldoon (90'), Phillips (90'), Greenidge (90+6')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and AFC Hornchurch.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aveley

All competitions
Last Game: Bath City 3-0 Aveley
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League South

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
Last Game: Hornchurch 1-2 Chippenham
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
AveleyDrawAFC Hornchurch
30.35% (0.192 0.19)25.52% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)44.13% (-0.145 -0.15)
Both teams to score 54.13% (0.265 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.44% (0.3 0.3)49.55% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.42% (0.267 0.27)71.58% (-0.271 -0.27)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76% (0.288 0.29)30.24% (-0.291 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6% (0.345 0.34)66.4% (-0.34700000000001 -0.35)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.59% (0.058999999999997 0.06)22.4% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.08% (0.089999999999996 0.09)55.92% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 30.35%
    AFC Hornchurch 44.13%
    Draw 25.52%
AveleyDrawAFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 8.1% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.25% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.85% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.89% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 30.35%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 10.13% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.58% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.78% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.025 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 44.13%