National League South | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Priory Lane Stadium

Eastbourne
1 - 1
Hornchurch

Pavey (40')
Woollard Innocent (44'), Bird (58'), Pavey (87'), Alexander (90+2'), Kensdale (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hearn (34')
Gibbs (41'), Wraight (64')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Eastbourne Borough and AFC Hornchurch.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastbourne Borough

All competitions
Last Game: Chesham 0-0 Eastbourne
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League South

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
Last Game: Chesham 1-3 Hornchurch
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 36.29%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 1-0 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Eastbourne BoroughDrawAFC Hornchurch
36.14% (-2.202 -2.2)27.57% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)36.29% (2.203 2.2)
Both teams to score 49.14% (0.168 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.4% (0.137 0.14)56.6% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.43% (0.11 0.11)77.57% (-0.11200000000001 -0.11)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.05% (-1.257 -1.26)29.95% (1.255 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.94% (-1.543 -1.54)66.06% (1.54 1.54)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.14% (1.471 1.47)29.86% (-1.473 -1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.05% (1.742 1.74)65.95% (-1.745 -1.74)
Score Analysis
    Eastbourne Borough 36.14%
    AFC Hornchurch 36.28%
    Draw 27.56%
Eastbourne BoroughDrawAFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 10.78% (-0.44 -0.44)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.276 -0.28)
2-0 @ 6.5% (-0.508 -0.51)
3-1 @ 3.16% (-0.227 -0.23)
3-0 @ 2.61% (-0.304 -0.3)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 36.14%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.94% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 10.8% (0.37 0.37)
1-2 @ 7.88% (0.317 0.32)
0-2 @ 6.53% (0.478 0.48)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.249 0.25)
0-3 @ 2.63% (0.29 0.29)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.088 0.09)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 36.28%

Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Hornchurch
0-1
Eastbourne
Pavey (23')
Diarra (14'), Johnson (86'), Bird (86'), J (90+1')
Pitblado (28')