National League South | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
2 - 1
Aveley

Ring (19' og.), Sutcliffe (78')
Wagstaff (17'), Nelson (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Akanbi (21')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Aveley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-3 Enfield Town
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in National League South

Aveley

All competitions
Last Game: Aveley 0-3 Maidstone
Monday, December 2 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Aveley had a probability of 17.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for an Aveley win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawAveley
60.57% (0.031000000000006 0.03)21.67% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)17.76% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.02% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.65% (0.035000000000004 0.04)45.34% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.32% (0.033000000000001 0.03)67.68% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.48% (0.021000000000001 0.02)14.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.47% (0.041000000000004 0.04)42.52% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.85%39.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.14% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.85% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 60.56%
    Aveley 17.76%
    Draw 21.67%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawAveley
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.58%
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.29% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 60.56%
1-1 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65%
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.67%
0-1 @ 5.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 2.5% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 17.76%

Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Aveley
2-2
Tonbridge Angels
Anifowose (20'), Kelly (65')
Bloedorn (44'), Ogunrinde (60'), Gibbs (80')
Vincent (45+2' pen.), Shields (73')
Robinson (80')
Mar 11, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Aveley
2-1
Tonbridge Angels
Coleman De-Graft (36'), Ogunrinde (51')
Odokonyero (47' pen.)
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Tonbridge Angels
1-1
Aveley
Swift (66')
Odelusi (45' pen.)
rhs 2.0


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