National League South | Gameweek 18

Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK

Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
2 - 0
Hemel Hemps.

Shields (53'), Evans (86')
Hanson (12'), Dabre (15'), Santos (50'), Wagstaff (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Oke (11'), Kawimbe (25'), Barzey (47'), Ajayi (62')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions

National League South

Last Game: Torquay Utd 0-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions

Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 0-1 Weston
Monday, November 11 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.

Result
Tonbridge Angels	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
49.23% ( -0.02)	24.38% ( 0.01)	26.4% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.12% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53% (

-0.04)

47% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.76% (

-0.04)

69.24% (

0.04)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.85% (

-0.03)

19.15% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.21% (

-0.04)

50.79% (

0.04)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.17% (

-0.01)

31.83% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.73% (

-0.02)

68.27% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Tonbridge Angels 49.22%

Hemel Hempstead Town 26.4%

Draw 24.38%

Tonbridge Angels	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.22%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.38%	0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 26.4%