Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.