Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hampton & Richmond win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 37.73% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hampton & Richmond win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hampton & Richmond would win this match.