National League South | Gameweek 11

Nov 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hemps.
0 - 1
Weston

Maja (39'), Howe (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Coulson (45+1')
Kadji (28'), Chamberlain (49'), Lewis (90+6'), Coulson (90+8'), Bastin (90+9')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions

Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 0-4 Hampton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions

National League South

Last Game: Bath City 0-2 Weston
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 53.26%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weston-super-Mare would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Weston-super-Mare
24.24% ( -6.46)	22.5% ( -1.15)	53.26% ( 7.62)

Both teams to score 59.26% (

-1.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.5% (

0.49)

40.51% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.11% (

0.5)

62.89% (

-0.48)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.92% (

-4.36)

30.09% (

4.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.78% (

-5.57)

66.22% (

5.58)

Weston-super-Mare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.76% (

2.99)

15.25% (

-2.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.08% (

5.34)

43.92% (

-5.33)

Score Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 24.24%

Weston-super-Mare 53.26%

Draw 22.5%

Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Weston-super-Mare
2-1 @ 6.22% ( -1.13) 1-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.86) 2-0 @ 3.31% ( -1.01) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.84) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.49) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.63) Other @ 3.04% Total : 24.24%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.47) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.5%	1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.52) 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.65) 0-2 @ 8.11% ( 1.32) 1-3 @ 6.11% ( 0.88) 0-3 @ 5.09% ( 1.23) 2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 2.87% ( 0.65) 0-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.75) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.21) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.32) Other @ 3.84% Total : 53.26%