National League South | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 0
Dorking

Fielding (5')
Vincent (17'), Maloney (74'), Nelson (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Muitt (8'), McManus (49'), Young (74'), Craig (80'), Brooking (90+8')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Dorking 3-3 Salisbury
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawDorking Wanderers
34.38% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)24.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)41.23% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.62% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.9% (0.022000000000006 0.02)43.09% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)65.49% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)24.53% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41% (0.010000000000005 0.01)58.99% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (0.013000000000005 0.01)21.01% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22% (0.022000000000006 0.02)53.78% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 34.38%
    Dorking Wanderers 41.23%
    Draw 24.37%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 7.24% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 34.38%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 6.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 41.23%

Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Dorking
1-3
Tonbridge Angels
Rutherford (7')
Fuller (45+3')
Turner (36'), Wood (61', 76')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Tonbridge Angels
3-1
Dorking
Loft (20'), Parkinson (43'), Olutade (49')
Kennedy (35')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Tonbridge Angels
P-P
Dorking
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 8
Dorking
4-1
Tonbridge Angels
Prior (15', 41', 53'), Fogden (17')
Akrofi (32')
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Tonbridge Angels
P-P
Dorking