National League South | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadowbank Stadium

Dorking
3 - 3
Salisbury

Young (12', 83'), Taylor (90+10')
Gallagher (52'), Bowerman (73'), Foulkes (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hedges (87' pen., 90+7'), Silva (90+5')
Elliott-Wheeler (57')
Elliott-Wheeler (67')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dorking Wanderers and Salisbury.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Dorking 3-2 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in National League South

Salisbury

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Salisbury 2-2 Hornchurch
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 56.76%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 21.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawSalisbury
56.76% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)21.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)21.68% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)39.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.56% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)61.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.35% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)13.64% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.18% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)40.82% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Salisbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49% (0.016000000000005 0.02)31.51% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.1% (0.018000000000001 0.02)67.9% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 56.76%
    Salisbury 21.68%
    Draw 21.56%
Dorking WanderersDrawSalisbury
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 8.53% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.54% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 5.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.82% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.88% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 56.76%
1-1 @ 9.89% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.56%
1-2 @ 5.71% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 4.97% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 21.68%