Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salisbury win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for AFC Stoneham had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salisbury win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.56%) and 1-3 (5.42%). The likeliest AFC Stoneham win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salisbury would win this match.