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FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stoneham Lane Football Complex

AFC Stoneham
1 - 7
Salisbury

Sampson (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sommerton (15'), Silva (37', 59', 76', 90+1')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between AFC Stoneham and Salisbury.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Stoneham

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Last Game: Fleet Town 2-4 AFC Stoneham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Salisbury

All competitions
Last Game: Farnborough 3-1 Salisbury
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salisbury win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for AFC Stoneham had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salisbury win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.56%) and 1-3 (5.42%). The likeliest AFC Stoneham win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salisbury would win this match.

Result
AFC StonehamDrawSalisbury
33.8% (-0.061 -0.06)22.02% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.17% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 68.35% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.39% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)31.61% (0.023 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.89% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)53.11% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
AFC Stoneham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)19.48% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.65% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)51.34% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Salisbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.89% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)15.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.34% (0.019999999999996 0.02)43.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    AFC Stoneham 33.81%
    Salisbury 44.17%
    Draw 22.02%
AFC StonehamDrawSalisbury
2-1 @ 7.44% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.81%
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.94% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 33.81%
1-1 @ 9.1% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 7.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 2.94% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 2.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.02%
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.42% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.26% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.43%
0-3 @ 3.31% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.56% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-4 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 44.17%