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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
 

Fleet Town
2 - 4
AFC Stoneham

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Fleet Town and AFC Stoneham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleet Town

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Last Game: Fleet Town 4-1 Wincanton Town
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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AFC Stoneham

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Last Game: Millbrook FC 1-3 AFC Stoneham
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Stoneham win with a probability of 64.52%. A win for Fleet Town had a probability of 18.92% and a draw had a probability of 16.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Stoneham win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.34%) and 2-3 (5.7%). The likeliest Fleet Town win was 2-1 (4.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Stoneham would win this match.

Result
Fleet TownDrawAFC Stoneham
18.92% (0.065999999999999 0.07)16.55% (0.039000000000001 0.04)64.52% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 74.28% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
81.54% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)18.45% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
64.14% (-0.114 -0.11)35.86% (0.116 0.12)
Fleet Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)21.17% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)54.03% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
AFC Stoneham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.23% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)5.77% (0.039 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.77% (-0.10499999999999 -0.1)22.23% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Fleet Town 18.92%
    AFC Stoneham 64.52%
    Draw 16.55%
Fleet TownDrawAFC Stoneham
2-1 @ 4.2% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 1.9% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.47% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 18.92%
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.011 0.01)
1-1 @ 5.41% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-0 @ 1.22% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 16.55%
1-2 @ 7.72% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 5.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 5.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.72% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-4 @ 4.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.48% (0.015 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.37% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-5 @ 2.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-4 @ 2.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.92% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-6 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-5 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-6 @ 1.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-6 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 64.52%