Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Merstham had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Merstham win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.