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FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
2 - 1
Merstham

FT(HT: 0-0)
Pointing (76')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Tonbridge Angels and Merstham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
Last Game: Chippenham 0-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South

Merstham

All competitions
Last Game: Steyning Town 1-2 Merstham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Merstham had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Merstham win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawMerstham
60.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)19.78% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)19.4% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.16% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.32% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)55.68% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.16% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)10.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)34.93% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Merstham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)30.56% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 60.82%
    Merstham 19.4%
    Draw 19.78%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawMerstham
2-1 @ 9.69%
2-0 @ 8.18% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 7.36%
3-1 @ 7.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 6.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.26%
4-1 @ 3.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.05%
4-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 60.82%
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.31%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 19.78%
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.27%
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 19.4%