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FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Moatside Stadium

Merstham
7 - 0
Wick

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Merstham and Wick.

Form, Standings, Stats

Merstham

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Last Game: Merstham 0-5 Oxford Utd
Saturday, November 5 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
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Wick

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Merstham win with a probability of 52.75%. A win for Wick had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Merstham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Wick win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Merstham would win this match.

Result
MersthamDrawWick
52.75% (0.609 0.61)22.18% (-0.282 -0.28)25.06% (-0.331 -0.33)
Both teams to score 61.34% (0.65600000000001 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.82% (1.021 1.02)38.17% (-1.024 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.55% (1.078 1.08)60.45% (-1.082 -1.08)
Merstham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.4% (0.562 0.56)14.59% (-0.566 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.32% (1.074 1.07)42.68% (-1.077 -1.08)
Wick Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.82% (0.29300000000001 0.29)28.18% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.13% (0.374 0.37)63.86% (-0.379 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Merstham 52.75%
    Wick 25.06%
    Draw 22.18%
MersthamDrawWick
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.19% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.92% (0.108 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.98% (0.116 0.12)
4-0 @ 2.35% (0.073 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.088 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.066 0.07)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 52.75%
1-1 @ 10.02% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.11% (-0.204 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.18%
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.21% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 25.06%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Merstham