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FA Cup

FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Moatside Stadium

Merstham
2 - 1
Erith Town

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Merstham and Erith Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Merstham win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Erith Town had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Merstham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Erith Town win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Merstham in this match.

Result
MersthamDrawErith Town
44.03%23.12%32.84%
Both teams to score 63.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.49%37.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.26%59.73%
Merstham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5%17.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.01%47.99%
Erith Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23%22.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.54%56.46%
Score Analysis
    Merstham 44.03%
    Erith Town 32.84%
    Draw 23.12%
MersthamDrawErith Town
2-1 @ 8.96%
1-0 @ 6.94%
2-0 @ 6.05%
3-1 @ 5.21%
3-2 @ 3.85%
3-0 @ 3.52%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-2 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.53%
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 44.03%
1-1 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 6.63%
0-0 @ 3.98%
3-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 7.6%
0-1 @ 5.89%
0-2 @ 4.36%
1-3 @ 3.75%
2-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 32.84%