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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Leisure Centre Steyning

Steyning Town
1 - 2
Merstham

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Steyning Town and Merstham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Steyning Town

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Last Game: Steyning Town 3-1 Crawley Down Gatwick
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Merstham

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Last Game: Merstham 2-1 Erith Town
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Merstham win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Steyning Town had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Merstham win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.5%) and 1-3 (4.91%). The likeliest Steyning Town win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Merstham in this match.

Result
Steyning TownDrawMerstham
37.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)22.35% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)40.4% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 67.88% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.45% (0.013000000000005 0.01)32.54% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.8% (0.015000000000001 0.02)54.2% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Steyning Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (0.0020000000000095 0)18.28% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65% (0.0039999999999978 0)49.34% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)
Merstham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06% (0.0089999999999861 0.01)16.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.99% (0.015999999999998 0.02)47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Steyning Town 37.24%
    Merstham 40.4%
    Draw 22.35%
Steyning TownDrawMerstham
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.5%
2-0 @ 4.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.99%
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 37.24%
1-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 7.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 8.3%
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.91% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 4.17% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 40.4%

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