Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.