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FA Cup
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 4
Harborough Town

Shields (90+5')
Adigun (27'), Fielding (44'), Vincent (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Malone (41'), Stephens (60', 72'), Forbes (87')
Kennedy (3'), Austin (4'), Starkie (30'), Cooper (77'), Forbes (88'), Forbes (88')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Tonbridge Angels and Harborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Truro City 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South

Harborough Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Harborough Town 1-0 Bury
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Harborough Town had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Harborough Town win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawHarborough Town
42.82% (5.01 5.01) 24.09% (-0.973 -0.97) 33.09% (-4.038 -4.04)
Both teams to score 60.26% (2.725 2.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.91% (3.865 3.87)42.08% (-3.866 -3.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.51% (3.77 3.77)64.48% (-3.771 -3.77)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (4.101 4.1)19.86% (-4.101 -4.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.03% (6.231 6.23)51.97% (-6.233 -6.23)
Harborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19% (-0.473 -0.47)24.8% (0.472 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.62% (-0.66 -0.66)59.38% (0.66 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 42.82%
    Harborough Town 33.09%
    Draw 24.09%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawHarborough Town
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.562 0.56)
1-0 @ 7.96% (-0.367 -0.37)
2-0 @ 6.44% (0.485 0.48)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.829 0.83)
3-0 @ 3.47% (0.634 0.63)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.54 0.54)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.523 0.52)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.389 0.39)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.351 0.35)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 42.82%
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.67 -0.67)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.312 0.31)
0-0 @ 4.93% (-0.904 -0.9)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.232 0.23)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.582 -0.58)
0-1 @ 6.87% (-1.373 -1.37)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-1.036 -1.04)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.323 -0.32)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.107 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.519 -0.52)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 33.09%

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Tables header RHS
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2Chelsea1484231151628
3Arsenal1484228141428
4Manchester CityMan City148242519626
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton146532320323
6Fulham146442119222
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest146441616022
8Aston Villa146442223-122
9Bournemouth146352119221
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1462628151320
11Brentford146262726120
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle145541717020
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd145451715219
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham144371827-915
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester143471928-913
17Crystal Palace142661218-612
18Ipswich TownIpswich141671325-129
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves142392236-149
20Southampton1412111130-195
> Premier League Full Table


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