National League South | Gameweek 19
Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Park View Road

Welling United
2 - 2
Tonbridge Angels

Lankshear (11'), Redfearn (19')
Lankshear (59'), Grant (90+5'), Statham (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vincent (60', 81' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Welling United

All competitions
Last Game: Slough 2-3 Welling United
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League South

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-0 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawTonbridge Angels
33.86% (-0.185 -0.19)25.64% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)40.5% (0.239 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.08% (0.139 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.07% (0.197 0.2)48.92% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.98% (0.176 0.18)71.01% (-0.17699999999999 -0.18)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)27.62% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)63.16% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (0.211 0.21)23.9% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.89% (0.3 0.3)58.11% (-0.3 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Welling United 33.86%
    Tonbridge Angels 40.5%
    Draw 25.64%
Welling UnitedDrawTonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 33.86%
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.6% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 9.45% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.7% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.76% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 40.5%

Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Welling United
2-2
Tonbridge Angels
Adigun (68'), Fish (90+2')
Odokonyero (27', 44')
Aug 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Tonbridge Angels
0-1
Welling United
Burchell (18')
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Welling United
2-1
Tonbridge Angels
Maloney (15'), Azeez (45+2')
Gard (23')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 25
Tonbridge Angels
0-1
Welling United
Azeez (54')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 35
Tonbridge Angels
1-0
Welling United
Wood (14')