MX23RW : Saturday, February 15 13:51:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
2 - 1
Hornchurch

Wilkinson (17', 73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wood (86')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and AFC Hornchurch.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Enfield Town 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 2-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawAFC Hornchurch
47.25% (0.216 0.22) 25.69% (-0.103 -0.1) 27.06% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 51.51% (0.236 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48% (0.347 0.35)52% (-0.343 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27% (0.3 0.3)73.74% (-0.29600000000001 -0.3)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78% (0.244 0.24)22.01% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.68% (0.368 0.37)55.32% (-0.365 -0.37)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.04% (0.099000000000004 0.1)33.96% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.36% (0.107 0.11)70.64% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 47.25%
    AFC Hornchurch 27.06%
    Draw 25.68%
Chelmsford CityDrawAFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 11.31% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.32% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 47.25%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.07% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.36% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 27.06%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Hornchurch
0-2
Chelmsford City

Wraight (77')
Crichlow (33'), Ruff (45')
Appiah (19'), Greenidge (30'), Donaldson (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dorking WanderersDorking33188767412662
2Worthing30178548381059
3Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne32161064031958
4Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd311511546291756
5Boreham WoodBoreham Wood31167855322355
6Maidstone UnitedMaidstone321510746281855
7Truro CityTruro City31159744291554
8Weston-super-MareWeston3214994639751
9Hampton & RichmondHampton31129104437745
10Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels321111104039144
11Chelmsford CityChelmsford City321012104945442
12Chesham UnitedChesham31119114346-342
13Farnborough TownFarnborough31126134245-342
14Chippenham TownChippenham31125144443141
15AFC HornchurchHornchurch301010103433140
16Slough TownSlough32109134951-239
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.31116144555-1039
18Bath City31107142935-637
19Salisbury30811113639-335
20Welling UnitedWelling United3294193559-2431
21Enfield Town3185183158-2729
22St Albans CitySt Albans City30413132944-1525
23Aveley3165203354-2123
24Weymouth32310192449-2519


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!