Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chesham United in this match.