National League South | Gameweek 20

Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Raymond McEnhill Stadium

Salisbury
5 - 0
Hemel Hemps.

Ragguette (71', 73'), Fasanmade (77'), Perez (82', 87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Iaciofano (15'), Howe (42')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Salisbury and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salisbury

All competitions

Last Game: Bath City 1-0 Salisbury
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions

Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 1-7 Dorking
Monday, November 25 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salisbury win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salisbury win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salisbury would win this match.

Result
Salisbury	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
37.25% ( 0.06)	26.77% ( 0.01)	35.97% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 51.64% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.54% (

-0.06)

53.45% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.02% (

-0.05)

74.98% (

0.05)

Salisbury Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.24% (

27.76% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.66% (

0.01)

63.33% (

-0.01)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.48% (

-0.07)

28.52% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.7% (

-0.09)

64.3% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Salisbury 37.25%

Hemel Hempstead Town 35.97%

Draw 26.77%

Salisbury	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 37.25%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.77%	0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.97%