National League South | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
2 - 1
Salisbury

Foyo (8'), Appiah (90+4')
Tamplin (20'), Oguntayo (38'), Bendle (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Thomas (27')
Carroll (33'), Wilkinson (37'), Jombarti (67')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Salisbury.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salisbury 0-2 Weston
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 55.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Salisbury had a probability of 21.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Salisbury win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chelmsford City in this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawSalisbury
55.73%22.49%21.77% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 56.05% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.73%43.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.33% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.66%
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.61% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)15.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.82%44.17%
Salisbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)33.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.58%70.41%
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 55.73%
    Salisbury 21.77%
    Draw 22.49%
Chelmsford CityDrawSalisbury
2-1 @ 9.88%
1-0 @ 9.72%
2-0 @ 9.1%
3-1 @ 6.17%
3-0 @ 5.68%
3-2 @ 3.35%
4-1 @ 2.89%
4-0 @ 2.66%
4-2 @ 1.57%
5-1 @ 1.08%
5-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 55.73%
1-1 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 5.37%
0-0 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.49%
1-2 @ 5.73%
0-1 @ 5.64%
0-2 @ 3.06%
1-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 21.77%

rhs 2.0


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