Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 53.67%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.