National League South | Gameweek 16

Dec 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 0
Chesham

Robinson (17')
Sutcliffe (43'), Nelson (66'), Wagstaff (87'), Evans (90+2'), Evans (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cawley (45')
Cawley (90+1')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Chesham United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions

Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Aveley
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Chesham United

All competitions

Last Game: Boreham Wood 3-0 Chesham
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Chesham United had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Chesham United win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tonbridge Angels in this match.

Result
Tonbridge Angels	Draw	Chesham United
45.55% ( -2.36)	26.43% ( 0.48)	28.02% ( 1.89)

Both teams to score 49.96% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.67% (

-0.7)

54.33% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.29% (

-0.59)

75.71% (

0.59)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.21% (

-1.4)

23.79% (

1.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.05% (

-2.05)

57.94% (

2.05)

Chesham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.56% (

1.16)

34.44% (

-1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.85% (

1.22)

71.15% (

-1.21)

Score Analysis

Tonbridge Angels 45.55%

Chesham United 28.02%

Draw 26.43%

Tonbridge Angels	Draw	Chesham United
1-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.41) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.68% Total : 45.55%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.43%	0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.22% Total : 28.02%