National League South | Gameweek 25

Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK

Meadowbank Stadium

Dorking
1 - 0
Bath City

Prior (3')
Gallagher (12'), McManus (30'), Carter (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lawrence (90+3')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Dorking Wanderers and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 1-2 Worthing
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Bath City

All competitions

Last Game: Bath City 1-0 Farnborough
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 18.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Bath City win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dorking Wanderers in this match.

Result
Dorking Wanderers	Draw	Bath City
58.74% ( 0.7)	22.6% ( -0.02)	18.67% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 50.76% (

-1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.12% (

-0.89)

47.88% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.94% (

-0.82)

70.06% (

0.82)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.03% (

-0.07)

15.97% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.74% (

-0.12)

45.26% (

0.12)

Bath City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.4% (

-1.27)

39.6% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.72% (

-1.2)

76.28% (

1.2)

Score Analysis

Dorking Wanderers 58.74%

Bath City 18.67%

Draw 22.59%

Dorking Wanderers	Draw	Bath City
1-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 58.74%	1-1 @ 10.74% 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.59%	0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.17% Total : 18.67%