National League South | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadowbank Stadium

Dorking
1 - 2
Worthing

Prior (26')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Rea (12'), Wheeler (45+6')
Cashman (42')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dorking Wanderers and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Chesham 0-5 Dorking
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League South

Worthing

All competitions
Last Game: Worthing 1-0 Enfield Town
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Worthing win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawWorthing
45.55% (0.206 0.21)23.42% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)31.02% (-0.148 -0.15)
Both teams to score 61.74% (0.14 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.25% (0.216 0.22)39.74% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.9% (0.224 0.22)62.1% (-0.227 -0.23)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.22% (0.16699999999999 0.17)17.78% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.51% (0.289 0.29)48.48% (-0.291 -0.29)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)24.91% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.46% (0.021000000000001 0.02)59.53% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 45.55%
    Worthing 31.02%
    Draw 23.42%
Dorking WanderersDrawWorthing
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.65% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.29% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.8% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 45.55%
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.38% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 31.02%