Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.96%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.