National League South Gameweek 15
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Raymond McEnhill Stadium
  • George Franklin 57' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Cashman 25'
  • goal Harrison Smith 50'
  • yellowcard Joel Colbran 67'
  • yellowcard Danny Cashman 73'

Salisbury vs Worthing - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Salisbury

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Nov 30, 2024 3.00pm
Salisbury 5 - 0 Hemel Hemps.
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Josh Hedges

Worthing

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Nov 30, 2024 3.00pm
Worthing 3 - 0 Weston
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Danny Cashman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.96%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result

Salisbury 36.65% (-0.13)
Draw 23.68% (-0.16)
Worthing 39.68% (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.64% (+0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.68% (+0.76)
Under 2.5 39.32% (-0.76)
Over 3.5 38.34% (+0.79)
Under 3.5 61.66% (-0.79)
Over 4.5 20.83% (+0.62)
Under 4.5 79.17% (-0.61)

Salisbury Goals

Over 0.5 78.42% (+0.28)
Under 0.5 21.58% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 45.33% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 54.67% (-0.43)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5 79.88% (+0.46)
Under 0.5 20.12% (-0.46)
Over 1.5 47.62% (+0.73)
Under 1.5 52.38% (-0.73)

Score analysis

Salisbury 36.65%
Draw 23.67%
Worthing 39.68%
Salisbury
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 6.66% (-0.18)
2-0 @ 5.1% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 4.18% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.35% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 2.61% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.6% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.29% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1% (+99.00)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 36.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.67% (-0.15)
2-2 @ 6.56% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 4.34% (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.79% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.67%
Worthing
1-2 @ 8.56% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.58% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 3.51% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.98% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.83% (+0.06)
2-4 @ 1.41% (+0.06)
0-4 @ 1.2% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 39.68%