Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Worthing win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.