National League South | Gameweek 19
Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Paddy Power Park

Farnborough
1 - 0
Worthing

Haigh (45+2')
Kuhl (75'), Haigh (76'), Turner (85'), D'Auria-Henry (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cook (34'), Young (35')
Cook (46')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Farnborough Town

All competitions
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Farnborough
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South

Worthing

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Worthing win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.

Result
Farnborough TownDrawWorthing
42.7% (-0.462 -0.46)24% (-0.128 -0.13)33.3% (0.589 0.59)
Both teams to score 60.67% (0.688 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.43% (0.811 0.81)41.57% (-0.813 -0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.03% (0.816 0.82)63.97% (-0.819 -0.82)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29% (0.131 0.13)19.7% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29% (0.215 0.21)51.71% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56% (0.732 0.73)24.43% (-0.734 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.13% (1.025 1.03)58.86% (-1.027 -1.03)
Score Analysis
    Farnborough Town 42.7%
    Worthing 33.3%
    Draw 24%
Farnborough TownDrawWorthing
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.257 -0.26)
2-0 @ 6.35% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-1 @ 4.85% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.44% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 42.7%
1-1 @ 11.02% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.091 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.81% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.079 0.08)
0-1 @ 6.78% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.78% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.114 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.066 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 33.3%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Worthing
2-3
Farnborough
Felix (42'), Dolaghan (73')
Haigh (27', 56'), Clark (43')
Hollis (90+5')
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Farnborough
0-3
Worthing
Luque (47'), Pearce (50'), Aguiar (83')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 41
Farnborough
0-1
Worthing
Pearce (4')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Worthing
1-2
Farnborough
Splatt (28')
Saied (64'), Page (90+2')