National League South | Gameweek 18
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Woodspring Stadium

Weston
4 - 3
Farnborough

Coulson (14'), Pearson (61'), Thomas (85'), McCootie (90')
Chamberlain (15'), Dodd (53')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Haigh (2'), Holmes (65', 81')
Chin (45'), Kuhl (62')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weston-super-Mare and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 0-1 Weston
Monday, November 11 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Farnborough
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Weston-super-MareDrawFarnborough Town
33.96% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)24.8% (0.016000000000002 0.02)41.24% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 58.01% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.86% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)45.14% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)67.48% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)25.74% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.32% (-0.125 -0.13)60.67% (0.124 0.12)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)21.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)55.13% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Weston-super-Mare 33.96%
    Farnborough Town 41.24%
    Draw 24.8%
Weston-super-MareDrawFarnborough Town
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 33.96%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.8%
1-2 @ 8.83% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.56% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.5% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.0039999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 41.24%

Head to Head
Mar 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Weston
0-3
Farnborough
Haigh (19'), Norville-Williams (22', 77')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Farnborough
3-0
Weston
Pavey (19'), Cullen (59'), Morton (63' og.)

Mannings (68')