National League South | Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium

Hornchurch
1 - 1
Salisbury

McQueen (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
James Watts (43')
Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Salisbury.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
Last Game: Hornchurch 0-1 Dorking
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in National League South

Salisbury

All competitions
Last Game: Salisbury 1-1 St Albans City
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salisbury win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salisbury win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawSalisbury
30.24% (0.0019999999999989 0)26.99% (0.0019999999999989 0)42.76% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)55.49% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.33% (-0.004999999999999 -0)76.67% (0.0040000000000049 0)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.64% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)33.36% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.01% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)69.98%
Salisbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.31% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)25.68% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.4% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)60.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 30.24%
    Salisbury 42.76%
    Draw 26.99%
AFC HornchurchDrawSalisbury
1-0 @ 9.41% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 7.02%
2-0 @ 5.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.57%
3-0 @ 1.89%
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.24%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 11.64%
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 7.92%
1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 42.76%

Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 11
Salisbury
2-2
Hornchurch
Hedges (21'), Fasanmade (82')
McCreadie (39'), Leggett (45+1'), Wilkinson (73'), Elliott-Wheeler (90+5')
Saunders (40'), Kashket (90+6')
Phillips (52')
rhs 2.0


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