National League South | Gameweek 28

Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK

Hornchurch Stadium

Hornchurch
0 - 1
Dorking

FT(HT: 0-1)

Briggs (22')

Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions

Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 1-3 Weston
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 56.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for an AFC Hornchurch win it was 1-0 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dorking Wanderers in this match.

Result
AFC Hornchurch	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
20.15% ( 0.69)	23.08% ( 1.03)	56.77% ( -1.72)

Both teams to score 51.7% (

-2.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.13% (

-3.46)

47.87% (

3.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.95% (

-3.27)

70.05% (

3.27)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.02% (

-1.27)

37.98% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.26% (

-1.24)

74.75% (

1.25)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.36% (

-1.78)

16.64% (

1.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.52% (

-3.28)

46.48% (

3.28)

Score Analysis

AFC Hornchurch 20.15%

Dorking Wanderers 56.77%

Draw 23.08%

AFC Hornchurch	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
1-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.65) 2-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.55% Total : 20.15%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.55) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.86) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.08%	0-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.93) 0-2 @ 10.16% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 6.07% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 5.88% ( -0.43) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.32) 0-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.28) 1-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.37) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.23) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.17) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.08% Total : 56.77%