National League South | Gameweek 22
Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Raymond McEnhill Stadium

Salisbury
3 - 1
Welling United

Coppin (18', 88' pen.), Ragguette (69')
Silva (42'), Coxe (61'), Leggett (77'), Coppin (88'), Elliott-Wheeler (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kennedy (74' pen.)
Lovett (18'), Winfield (84')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Salisbury and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salisbury

All competitions
Last Game: Salisbury 0-2 Maidstone
Tuesday, December 17 at 7.45pm in National League South

Welling United

All competitions
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Bath City
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salisbury win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salisbury win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salisbury would win this match.

Result
SalisburyDrawWelling United
46.52% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)24.24% (0.010999999999999 0.01)29.23% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.76% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.48% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)44.52% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.11% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)66.89% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Salisbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)19.27% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)51% (0.052 0.05)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.54% (0.013999999999996 0.01)28.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02)64.22% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Salisbury 46.52%
    Welling United 29.23%
    Draw 24.24%
SalisburyDrawWelling United
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 46.52%
1-1 @ 11.34%
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.89% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.33% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.0019999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 29.23%

rhs 2.0


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