National League South | Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Raymond McEnhill Stadium

Salisbury
1 - 3
Chelmsford City

Gregory (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Crichlow (4', 43'), Rye (64')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Salisbury and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salisbury

All competitions
Last Game: Weston 1-2 Salisbury
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in National League South

Chelmsford City

All competitions
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-0 Hemel Hemps.
Monday, February 10 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
SalisburyDrawChelmsford City
32.73% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)26.35% (0.0020000000000024 0)40.91% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.43% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)52.2% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.09% (-0.012 -0.01)73.91% (0.012 0.01)
Salisbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.05% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)29.95% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.94% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)66.05% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84%25.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13%59.87% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Salisbury 32.73%
    Chelmsford City 40.91%
    Draw 26.35%
SalisburyDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 9.08% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-0 @ 5.48% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 32.73%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 10.39%
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.18% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.98%
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.91%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Chelmsford City
2-1
Salisbury
Foyo (8'), Appiah (90+4')
Tamplin (20'), Oguntayo (38'), Bendle (61')
Thomas (27')
Carroll (33'), Wilkinson (37'), Jombarti (67')