National League South | Gameweek 28

Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK

Priory Lane Stadium

Eastbourne
2 - 1
Chelmsford City

Sesay (20'), Bamba (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Greenidge (81' pen.)

Coverage of the National League South clash between Eastbourne Borough and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastbourne Borough

All competitions

Last Game: Slough 0-0 Eastbourne
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Chelmsford City

All competitions

Last Game: Chesham 2-2 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastbourne Borough would win this match.

Result
Eastbourne Borough	Draw	Chelmsford City
41.32% ( -0.01)	27.76% ( 0.02)	30.92% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.58% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.91% (

-0.06)

58.09% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.24% (

-0.05)

78.76% (

0.05)

Eastbourne Borough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.34% (

-0.03)

27.66% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.79% (

-0.04)

63.21% (

0.04)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.77% (

-0.04)

34.23% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.07% (

-0.04)

70.93% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Eastbourne Borough 41.31%

Chelmsford City 30.91%

Draw 27.75%

Eastbourne Borough	Draw	Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.31%	1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.75%	0-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 30.91%