National League South | Gameweek 26

Feb 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Twerton Park Stadium

Bath City
2 - 1
Chelmsford City

Russe (63'), Tomlinson (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hyde (26')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bath City

All competitions

Last Game: Truro City 0-0 Bath City
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Chelmsford City

All competitions

Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Chesham
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 42%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Bath City	Draw	Chelmsford City
29.98% ( 0.61)	28.02% ( 0.51)	42% ( -1.12)

Both teams to score 46.46% (

-1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.68% (

-1.58)

59.32% (

1.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.28% (

-1.23)

79.72% (

1.23)

Bath City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.41% (

-0.38)

35.59% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.64% (

-0.4)

72.36% (

0.4)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.13% (

-1.34)

27.87% (

1.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.53% (

-1.74)

63.47% (

1.74)

Score Analysis

Bath City 29.97%

Chelmsford City 42%

Draw 28.02%

Bath City	Draw	Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.03% Total : 29.97%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.02%	0-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.78% Total : 42%