Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 42%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.