Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 52.46%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Weymouth win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesham United would win this match.