Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 52.46%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Weymouth win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesham United would win this match.

Result
Chesham United	Draw	Weymouth
52.46% ( -0.24)	26.02% ( 0.27)	21.52% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 45.13% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.43% (

-0.98)

57.57% (

0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.65% (

-0.78)

78.35% (

0.78)

Chesham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.96% (

-0.5)

22.04% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.63% (

-0.77)

55.37% (

0.77)

Weymouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.89% (

-0.59)

42.11% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.47% (

-0.52)

78.53% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Chesham United 52.46%

Weymouth 21.52%

Draw 26.02%

Chesham United	Draw	Weymouth
1-0 @ 14.03% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.89% Total : 52.46%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.63% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.11% Total : 21.52%