Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weymouth would win this match.

Result
Weymouth	Draw	Welling United
41.2% ( -0.01)	25.76% ( -0)	33.04% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.45% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.36% (

49.64% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.34% (

71.66% (

-0)

Weymouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.14% (

-0)

23.86% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.95% (

-0)

58.05% (

0.01)

Welling United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.51% (

0.01)

28.49% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.74% (

0.01)

64.26% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Weymouth 41.2%

Welling United 33.04%

Draw 25.76%

Weymouth	Draw	Welling United
1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.2%	1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 33.04%