National League South | Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Woodspring Stadium

Weston
1 - 4
Welling United

Kadji (2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Winfield (18'), Ballard-McBride (28'), Davis (56'), Walker (86')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weston-super-Mare and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dorking 1-3 Weston
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Boreham Wood
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 16.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Weston-super-MareDrawWelling United
60.74% (-0.41 -0.41)22.39% (0.537 0.54)16.88% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 48.04% (-1.891 -1.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.24% (-2.406 -2.41)49.77% (2.41 2.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.23% (-2.192 -2.19)71.77% (2.195 2.19)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.06% (-0.946 -0.95)15.95% (0.95 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.78% (-1.769 -1.77)45.22% (1.772 1.77)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.16% (-1.587 -1.59)42.85% (1.591 1.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.84% (-1.377 -1.38)79.16% (1.381 1.38)
Score Analysis
    Weston-super-Mare 60.73%
    Welling United 16.88%
    Draw 22.39%
Weston-super-MareDrawWelling United
1-0 @ 12.54% (0.81 0.81)
2-0 @ 11.51% (0.38 0.38)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 7.05% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 5.97% (-0.263 -0.26)
4-0 @ 3.24% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.74% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.23 -0.23)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.148 -0.15)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 60.73%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.646 0.65)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.229 -0.23)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 22.39%
0-1 @ 5.79% (0.313 0.31)
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.45% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 16.88%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Welling United
1-3
Weston
Chukwu (2')
Grant (34'), Kennedy (67'), Winfield (75'), Lovett (85'), Taylor-Crossdale (88'), Donkor (90+2')
Reid (35'), Coulson (38' pen., 71')
Kirkman (57'), Lewis (69'), Reid (75')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 40
Welling United
3-1
Weston
Fish (32'), Papadopoulos (90+1'), Amoo (90+4')
Dodd (76')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Weston
4-2
Welling United
Reid (32', 76'), Wood (58' og.), Morton (81')
Abrahams (54' pen.), Chambers (83')