National League South | Gameweek 25

Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK

Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
2 - 0
Weston

Shields (25'), Nelson (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions

Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-3 Maidstone
Thursday, December 26 at 1pm in National League South

Goals
for

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions

Last Game: Weston 1-3 Chippenham
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 36.38%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge Angels	Draw	Weston-super-Mare
36.04% ( 0.19)	27.58% ( 0.22)	36.38% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 49.08% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.33% (

-0.83)

56.66% (

0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.37% (

-0.67)

77.63% (

0.67)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.95% (

-0.29)

30.05% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.82% (

-0.35)

66.18% (

0.36)

Weston-super-Mare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.16% (

-0.65)

29.84% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.07% (

-0.8)

65.93% (

0.8)

Score Analysis

Tonbridge Angels 36.04%

Weston-super-Mare 36.37%

Draw 27.58%

Tonbridge Angels	Draw	Weston-super-Mare
1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.04%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.58%	0-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.37%