National League South | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 1pm UK
Longmead Stadium
Maidstone United

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 3
Maidstone

Vincent (45+4')
Fielding (24'), Robinson (45+7'), Wagstaff (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fowler (2'), Blair (77'), Bentley (90+4')
Higgs (44'), Trusty (90')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Maidstone United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League South

Maidstone United

All competitions
Last Game: Maidstone 4-0 Farnborough
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 48.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 25.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 1-0 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawMaidstone United
25.04% (-0.351 -0.35)26.44% (-0.067 -0.07)48.52% (0.42 0.42)
Both teams to score 47.64% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.79% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)56.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)77.26% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.04% (-0.315 -0.31)37.96% (0.317 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.27% (-0.307 -0.31)74.73% (0.309 0.31)
Maidstone United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (0.19 0.19)23.21% (-0.189 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (0.276 0.28)57.11% (-0.276 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 25.04%
    Maidstone United 48.51%
    Draw 26.44%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawMaidstone United
1-0 @ 8.54% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.04% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.13% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.95% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 25.04%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.81% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 12.86% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 9.4% (0.106 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.57% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.43% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 48.51%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Maidstone
2-0
Tonbridge Angels
Lyons-Foster (34' og.), Corne (41' pen.)
Dec 26, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 25
Tonbridge Angels
1-1
Maidstone
Higgs (90+4')
Rush (57')
Jan 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 20
Maidstone
2-0
Tonbridge Angels
Odusanya (33'), Luque (43')

Loft (83')
Dec 26, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 18
Tonbridge Angels
0-1
Maidstone
Phillips (18')
Mar 9, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Maidstone
0-0
Tonbridge Angels