Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 48.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 1-0 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.