National League South | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Treyew Road

Truro City
1 - 1
Weston

Palfrey (90+4')
Neal (53'), Oxlade-Chamberlain (72'), Palfrey (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reid (36')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Albans City 1-2 Truro City
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 0-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 36.12%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Truro CityDrawWeston-super-Mare
36.12% (-0.233 -0.23)27.98% (0.21 0.21)35.9% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.87% (-0.643 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.84% (-0.793 -0.79)58.16% (0.79 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.19% (-0.626 -0.63)78.81% (0.623 0.62)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26% (-0.542 -0.54)30.74% (0.539 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33% (-0.643 -0.64)67% (0.64 0.64)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.12% (-0.387 -0.39)30.88% (0.383 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.84% (-0.452 -0.45)67.16% (0.45 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Truro City 36.12%
    Weston-super-Mare 35.9%
    Draw 27.97%
Truro CityDrawWeston-super-Mare
1-0 @ 11.19% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 36.12%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.49% (0.282 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.97%
0-1 @ 11.15% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.73% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.55% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 35.9%

Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Weston
2-3
Truro City
Dodd (25'), Cane (84')
Dean (52'), Greenslade (56'), Law (64')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Truro City
0-1
Weston

Law (76')
Thomas (82')
rhs 2.0


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