Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hampton & Richmond win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hampton & Richmond win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hampton & Richmond would win this match.