Torquay United
National League South | Gameweek 26
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
Plainmoor Ground

Torquay Utd
3 - 1
Welling United

Dyer (3', 76'), Cooke (89')
Hayfield (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bramble (57')
Walker (41'), Johnson (73'), Hayfield (81')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Torquay United and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

All competitions
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-0 Truro City
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South

Welling United

All competitions
Last Game: Welling United 2-1 Weymouth
Tuesday, January 7 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 17.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.

Result
Torquay UnitedDrawWelling United
60.03% (0.013000000000005 0.01)22.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)17.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.73% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.44% (0.010000000000005 0.01)50.56% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.52% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)72.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)16.46% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.84% (0.015000000000001 0.02)46.15% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)42.86% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.82% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)79.18% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Torquay United 60.02%
    Welling United 17.24%
    Draw 22.73%
Torquay UnitedDrawWelling United
1-0 @ 12.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.48%
2-1 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 6.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.48%
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 60.02%
1-1 @ 10.78%
0-0 @ 7.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 22.73%
0-1 @ 5.98% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 17.24%

Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Welling United
2-0
Torquay Utd
Pegrum (82'), Kennedy (90+4')
Winfield (41'), Chukwu (53'), Perkins (77'), Grant (90+5')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Welling United
1-0
Torquay Utd
Adigun (34')

Marshall (22')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Torquay Utd
5-1
Welling United
Jarvis (35' pen., 65' pen.), McGavin (40'), Donnellan (59'), Marshall (76')
Adom (18')
Holden (74')
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
Torquay Utd
2-0
Welling United
Smith (60'), Allen (70')
Berry (47'), Harrad (55'), Racchi (87')

Yussuf (45'), Chesmain (74'), Kabba (84')
Sep 12, 2015 3pm
Welling United
1-1
Torquay Utd
Vidal (9')
Jefford (74'), Adeyinka (94')
Butler (20')
Hurst (54')
Speiss (29')