Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.