National League South | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium
Weymouth

Worthing
1 - 0
Weymouth

Babalola (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Weymouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Worthing 0-0 Eastbourne
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 2-3 Dorking
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Weymouth win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Worthing in this match.

Result
WorthingDrawWeymouth
60.11% (-0.162 -0.16)21.63% (0.067 0.07)18.26% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Both teams to score 53.09% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.61% (-0.139 -0.14)44.39% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.24% (-0.134 -0.13)66.77% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.66% (-0.092999999999989 -0.09)14.35% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.8% (-0.187 -0.19)42.2% (0.19 0.19)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.99% (0.027999999999999 0.03)38.02% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.22% (0.028000000000002 0.03)74.78% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 60.11%
    Weymouth 18.26%
    Draw 21.63%
WorthingDrawWeymouth
1-0 @ 10.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.65% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.23% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.25% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 60.11%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.45% (0.034 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.63%
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.95% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 18.26%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Weymouth
1-1
Worthing
Rowan (70')
Robinson (5'), Rowan (78')
Cashman (13')
Haigh (26'), Spong (45'), Bates (90+3')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Weymouth
1-4
Worthing
Linton (80')
Cashman (7'), Pearce (43' pen., 60', 84')
Livesey-Austin (14'), Colbran (90+6')
Aug 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Worthing
2-0
Weymouth
Fish (30'), Aguiar (61' pen.)

Howe (83')
Dec 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Worthing
1-3
Weymouth
Colbran (5')
Ash (29' pen.), Matsuzaka (57'), Rose (82')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Weymouth
0-3
Worthing
Colbran (40'), Pearce (70', 81')