Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Chesham United had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Chesham United win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.