National League South Gameweek 25
Feb 4, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Paddy Power Park
  • Jonny Stuttle 45'+5' goal
  • Oli Pendlebury 57' goal
  • goal Joe Grant 68'

Farnborough Town vs Chesham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Farnborough Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
Enfield Town 1 - 0 Farnborough
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Ricky Holmes

Chesham United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
Chelmsford City 1 - 1 Chesham
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Nathan Minhas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Chesham United had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Chesham United win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.

Result

Farnborough Town 44.66% (+0.20)
Draw 26.15% (-0.09)
Chesham United 29.19% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.54% (+0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.36% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 52.64% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 25.71% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 74.28% (-0.25)
Over 4.5 11.81% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 88.18% (-0.17)

Farnborough Town Goals

Over 0.5 76.52% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 23.47% (-0.23)
Over 1.5 42.5% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 57.49% (-0.33)

Chesham United Goals

Over 0.5 67.34% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 32.65% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 30.8% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 69.2% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Farnborough Town 44.65%
Draw 26.14%
Chesham United 29.19%
Farnborough Town
1-0 @ 11.1% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.01% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.05% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.35% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.89% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.44% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.58% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.41% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 44.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.67% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.04% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 26.14%
Chesham United
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.6% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 29.19%