National League South | Gameweek 28

Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK

Parkside Stadium

Aveley
2 - 1
Farnborough

Semakula (87'), Owen (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Robinson (30')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aveley

All competitions

Last Game: Truro City 2-1 Aveley
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Farnborough Town

All competitions

Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Farnborough
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Aveley	Draw	Farnborough Town
33.62% ( 0.11)	26.37% ( -0.02)	40.01% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 52.62% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.94% (

0.13)

52.06% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.21% (

0.11)

73.79% (

-0.11)

Aveley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.7% (

0.14)

29.3% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.73% (

0.17)

65.27% (

-0.17)

Farnborough Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.43% (

0.01)

25.57% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.56% (

0.02)

60.44% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Aveley 33.62%

Farnborough Town 40%

Draw 26.37%

Aveley	Draw	Farnborough Town
1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.62%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 40%