National League South | Gameweek 27

Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

Treyew Road

Truro City
2 - 1
Aveley

Sanders (63'), Harrison (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kabongolo (61')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and Aveley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Truro City

All competitions

Last Game: Eastbourne 0-0 Truro City
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Aveley

All competitions

Last Game: Aveley 1-1 Chesham
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 60.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Aveley had a probability of 16.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for an Aveley win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.

Result
Truro City	Draw	Aveley
60.17% ( -0.21)	23.32% ( 0.15)	16.5% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 44.63% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.04% (

-0.45)

53.96% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.59% (

-0.38)

75.4% (

0.38)

Truro City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.38% (

-0.24)

17.62% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.79% (

-0.42)

48.21% (

0.42)

Aveley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.17% (

-0.19)

45.83% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.41% (

-0.14)

81.58% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Truro City 60.16%

Aveley 16.5%

Draw 23.32%

Truro City	Draw	Aveley
1-0 @ 14.01% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 60.16%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.61% Total : 23.32%	0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.4% Total : 16.5%