National League South | Gameweek 23

Feb 17, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hemps.
2 - 1
St Albans City

Barzey (50'), Ogungbo (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Banton (66')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and St Albans City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions

Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-0 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

St Albans City

All competitions

Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Farnborough
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	St Albans City
31.45% ( 0.06)	23.06% ( 0.02)	45.49% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 63.3% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.2% (

-0.09)

37.79% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.96% (

-0.1)

60.04% (

0.09)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.29% (

-0.01)

23.7% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.17% (

-0.01)

57.82% (

0.01)

St Albans City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.96% (

-0.07)

17.03% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.81% (

-0.12)

47.18% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 31.45%

St Albans City 45.49%

Draw 23.05%

Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	St Albans City
2-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.45%	1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.05%	1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.21% Total : 45.49%