Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 49.71%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.