National League South | Gameweek 30

Feb 1, 2025 at 3pm UK

Hardenhuish Park

Chippenham
2 - 1
Aveley

Haines (51'), Spokes (54')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kabongolo (36')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Chippenham Town and Aveley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chippenham Town

All competitions

Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-4 Chippenham
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Aveley

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 3-0 Aveley
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chippenham Town would win this match.

Result
Chippenham Town	Draw	Aveley
42.7% ( -0)	26.37% ( 0.01)	30.93% ( 0)

Both teams to score 51.73% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.2% (

-0.03)

52.8% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.58% (

-0.03)

74.42% (

0.03)

Chippenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.49% (

-0.02)

24.51% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.03% (

-0.02)

58.97% (

0.03)

Aveley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.52% (

-0.02)

31.48% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.13% (

-0.02)

67.87% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Chippenham Town 42.7%

Aveley 30.93%

Draw 26.36%

Chippenham Town	Draw	Aveley
1-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.63% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.7%	1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.36%	0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.93%