National League South | Gameweek 25
Jan 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Hardenhuish Park

Chippenham
2 - 3
Worthing

Mehew (26'), Amadi-Holloway (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fall (42', 83'), Cook (90+6')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chippenham Town and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chippenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Chippenham 0-1 Salisbury
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in National League South

Worthing

All competitions
Last Game: Worthing 1-0 Weymouth
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
Chippenham TownDrawWorthing
25.8% (0.175 0.18)23.73% (0.538 0.54)50.47% (-0.71599999999999 -0.72)
Both teams to score 56.71% (-1.663 -1.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.37% (-2.277 -2.28)44.63% (2.275 2.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33% (-2.239 -2.24)67% (2.237 2.24)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (-1.073 -1.07)31.04% (1.07 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64% (-1.273 -1.27)67.36% (1.27 1.27)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (-1.115 -1.11)17.75% (1.112 1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.56% (-1.965 -1.97)48.43% (1.961 1.96)
Score Analysis
    Chippenham Town 25.8%
    Worthing 50.47%
    Draw 23.72%
Chippenham TownDrawWorthing
2-1 @ 6.52% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.45% (0.437 0.44)
2-0 @ 3.77% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 25.8%
1-1 @ 11.14% (0.37 0.37)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.51% (0.524 0.52)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 9.63% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 9.53% (0.583 0.58)
0-2 @ 8.24% (0.214 0.21)
1-3 @ 5.55% (-0.227 -0.23)
0-3 @ 4.75% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.234 -0.23)
1-4 @ 2.4% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-4 @ 2.05% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.158 -0.16)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 50.47%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 40
Chippenham
3-1
Worthing
Amadi-Holloway (22'), McClure (49'), Williams (61')
Pearce (74' pen.)
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Worthing
3-1
Chippenham
Pearce (46', 71', 84')
McClure (45')
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Chippenham
1-1
Worthing
Bray (14')
Dabre (12')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Worthing
0-0
Chippenham